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2015 Oscar Predictions: Daniel Kibbe’s Top Picks

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Best Picture

What will win: Boyhood

Possible upset: Birdman

The nominees: American Sniper, Birdman, Boyhood, The Grand Budapest Hotel, The Imitation Game, Selma, The Theory of Everything, Whiplash

This category could really go either way: Boyhood and Birdman have an equal chance, with the former winning the L.A. critics award as well as the Golden Globe for Best Picture, while the latter has picked up the Producer’s guild award, the Screen Actor’s guild ensemble award, and the Director’s guild award. It’s a split race that’s hard to predict.


Best Actor

Who will win: Eddie Redmayne for The Theory of Everything

Possible upset: Michael Keaton for Birdman

The nominees: Steve Carell for Foxcatcher, Benedict Cumberbatch for The Imitation Game, Bradley Cooper for American Sniper, Michael Keaton for Birdman, Eddie Redmayne for The Theory of Everything

Another tough choice, but The Academy tends to pick actors who play characters with physical disabilities, and Redmayne’s portrayal of Stephen Hawking does that excellently. Keaton was an early favorite for most pundits, so he could maybe sneak in somehow.

 


Best Actress

Who will win: Julianne Moore for Still Alice

Possible upset: No One

The nominees: Marion Cotillard for Two Days One Night, Felicity Jones for The Theory of Everything, Rosamund Pike for Gone Girl, Julianne Moore for Still Alice, Reese Witherspoon for Wild.

It’s Moore’s award to lose and, really, I can’t see anyone else winning. This one is a shoe-in.

 


Best Supporting Actor

Who will win: J.K. Simmons for Whiplash

Possible upset: no one

The nominees: Robert Duvall in The Judge, Ethan Hawke in Boyhood, Edward Norton in Birdman, Mark Ruffalo in Foxcatcher, J.K. Simmons in Whiplash

Much like Best Actress, Simmons is a sure fire choice. There’s no way he won’t win.

 


Best Supporting Actress

Who Will win: Patricia Arquette for Boyhood

Possible upset: Emma Stone for Birdman

Arquette has won all the precursor awards, and this is most likely her’s to lose. However, if Birdman ends up winning really big, it could pull off a major upset in this category.

 


Best Director

Who will win: Richard Linklater for Boyhood

Possible upset: Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu for Birdman

Much like the Best Picture race, Director is split between Boyhood and Birdman in the same way. Could Inarritu take home Director while Boyhood takes picture? Or maybe vice versa? Maybe Boyhood will take it all — either way, it’s a tough decision to make.

 


Best Adapted Screenplay

Who will win: The Imitation Game

Possible upset: Whiplash or American Sniper

The Imitation Game’s recent win at the Writer’s guild awards bodes well, but the widespread love for Whiplash or American Sniper could push them to the win.

 


Best Original Screenplay

Who will win: The Grand Budapest Hotel

Possible upsets: Boyhood or Birdman

Grand Budapest has done well at pre-cursor awards, and The Academy loves Wes Anderson, but if the two Best Picture juggernauts have enough steam, they could take this one.

 


 

Best Film Editing

Who will win: Whiplash

Possible upset: Boyhood

 


Best Cinematography

Who will win: Birdman

Possible upsets: Mr. Turner

Birdman has this one in the bag, as its (admittedly) impressive use of steadicam and editing makes the film look like a single, continuous shot. Mr. Turner, Mike Leigh’s painterly period piece could pull off a major upset, however, as it won a special award for its cinematography at the Cannes Film Festival.

 


Best Costume Design

Who will win: The Grand Budapest Hotel

Possible upsets: Into the Woods

 


Best Make-Up and Hairstyling

Who will win: The Grand Budapest Hotel

Possible upset: Guardians of the Galaxy

 


Best Sound Mixing

Who will win: Whiplash

Possible upset: Birdman

 


Best Sound Editing

Who will win: American Sniper

Possible upset: Interstellar

 


Best Visual Effects

Who will win: Interstellar

Possible upset: Dawn of the Planet of the Apes

 


Best Original Song

Who will win: “Glory” from Selma

Possible upset: “Everything is Awesome” from The LEGO Movie

 


Best Original Score

Who will win: Interstellar

Possible upset: The Theory of Everything

 


Best Production Design

Who will win: The Grand Budapest Hotel

Possible upset: Interstellar

 


Best Documentary

Who will win: Citizenfour

Possible upset: Virunga

 


Best Foreign Language Film

Who will win: Ida

Possible upset: Leviathan

 


Best Animated Film

Who will win: How to Train Your Dragon 2

Possible upset: The Tale of the Princess Kaguya

 


Best Animated Short Film

Who will win: Feast

Possible upset: The Bigger Picture

 


Best Live Action Short Film

Who will win: Parvaneh

Possible upset: Aya

 


Best Documentary, Short Subject

Who will win: Joanna

Possible upset: White Earth

2015 Oscar Prediction: Best Picture

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2015 Oscar Predictions: Daniel Kibbe’s Top Picks